Standard arbitrage tools split your profit equally across all outcomes (e.g., guaranteeing $5 regardless of who wins). But what if you have a strong feeling that Team A will win?
Biased Arbitrage allows you to manipulate the math. You can set your stakes to break even if Team B wins, but generate maximum profit if Team A wins. It turns a tiny surebet into a massive value wager with zero risk.
How to Bias Your Arb
- Find an Arb: Enter the odds for Outcome A and Outcome B (e.g., 2.10 and 2.10).
- Select Goal:
- Equal Profit: Standard surebet. Safe and steady.
- Maximize A: If A wins, you win big. If B wins, you lose nothing (money back).
- Maximize B: The reverse.
- Result: The calculator adjusts the staking plan to fit your bias.
Example: The “Freeroll” Strategy
You find an arbitrage opportunity with 2.00% margin.
- Standard Arb: You bet $200 total to win $4.00 profit guaranteed.
- Biased Arb (Max A): You adjust stakes so that if Team B wins, you get your $200 back ($0 profit). But if Team A wins, you profit $8.00.
This strategy is perfect when you want to be a “fan” for free, with the upside of a winning bet but the safety net of an arbitrage.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Is Biased Arbitrage risky?
Mathematically, no—you never lose money. However, you introduce “Opportunity Cost.” If you bias towards Team A and Team B wins, you make $0 profit, wasting the effort of finding the arb. You must accept this trade-off.