The “Match Result & Both Teams To Score” market is a favorite among bettors chasing high odds. It allows you to combine two predictions into one wager: predicting who will win the match AND that the losing team will score a consolation goal.
Because this bet requires two specific conditions to be met, the odds are often lucrative (usually exceeding 3.00 or 4.00). However, calculating the true risk is difficult without a model. Our BTTS & Win Calculator uses the Poisson Distribution to calculate the intersection of these events, giving you the Fair Odds for outcomes like “Home Win & BTTS” or “Draw & BTTS”.
Result + BTTS Calc
Combo MarketCalculate the true probability of combined outcomes (e.g., Home Win AND Both Teams Score) using Expected Goals.
How to Use the Combo Calculator
This tool is designed to help you find value in complex markets where bookmakers often apply high margins. Here is how to use it:
- Input Expected Goals (xG): Enter the projected goals for the Home and Away teams. If you don’t have xG data, use their average goals scored over the last 5 matches.
- Review the Combinations: The calculator generates probabilities for three distinct outcomes:
- Home Win & BTTS: The Home team scores more than the Away team, AND the Away team scores at least 1 (e.g., 2-1, 3-1, 3-2).
- Draw & BTTS: The match ends in a tie, but not 0-0 (e.g., 1-1, 2-2, 3-3).
- Away Win & BTTS: The Away team wins, but the Home team scores (e.g., 1-2, 1-3).
- Check the Likely Scores: The tool also lists the most probable scorelines (like 2-1) that contribute to that specific combo.
Related Tools: If you only care about the winner, use our 1X2 Probability Calculator. If you want to check the likelihood of goals without picking a winner, try the standard BTTS Calculator.
Real-World Examples: When to Play the Combo
The “Win & BTTS” market is best used when a superior team is playing a dangerous underdog that has a good offense but a bad defense.
Example 1: The Leaky Favorite
Imagine Real Madrid playing a mid-table team. You expect Real Madrid to win, but they have conceded in their last 4 games.
- Inputs: Real Madrid xG: 2.50 | Opponent xG: 0.85
- Calculator Result (Home Win & BTTS):
- Probability: 35%
- Fair Odds: 2.85
Verdict: If the bookmaker offers odds of 3.20 for “Real Madrid to Win & BTTS”, it is a great value bet. You are getting paid more than the true risk implies.
Example 2: The “Score Draw” Hunter
Two evenly matched attacking teams meet (e.g., a 2.00 xG vs 2.00 xG shootout). You think a draw is likely, but a 0-0 bore draw is impossible.
- Checking the Draw & BTTS section, you see a probability of 18% (Fair Odds: 5.50).
- This covers scorelines like 1-1, 2-2, and 3-3.
- This pays much better than a standard draw bet and eliminates the frustration of a 0-0 result (which loses this bet, but is unlikely given the stats).
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
What does “1 & BTTS” mean?
“1” stands for Home Win. “BTTS” stands for Both Teams To Score. So, 1 & BTTS means the Home team must win the match, AND the final score must not include a zero. Scores like 2-1, 3-1, and 4-2 are winning bets. Scores like 1-0, 2-0, or 1-1 are losing bets.
Does a 0-0 draw win “Draw & BTTS”?
No. A 0-0 draw is a “No Goal” result. For a Draw & BTTS bet to win, the match must end 1-1, 2-2, 3-3, or higher.
Why are the odds so high for this market?
The odds are high because it is a difficult bet to land. You need two independent things to go right (the result and the goals). Bookmakers reward this difficulty with higher payouts, often 3x or 4x the stake.
Can I use this for Correct Score betting?
This calculator shows the “Likely Scores” for each outcome (e.g., 2-1), which is helpful. However, for a full matrix of exact score probabilities, you should use our dedicated Correct Score Calculator.
