In tennis betting, predicting the Correct Score (often called Set Betting) offers significantly higher odds than a standard Match Winner bet. Instead of just picking who will win, you are predicting the exact set scoreline: will Djokovic win 2-0, or will Alcaraz edge it out 2-1?
Because there are multiple possible outcomes — 4 in a standard match and 6 in a Grand Slam match — calculating the real risk and the bookmaker’s margin is mathematically complex. Our Tennis Set Betting Calculator handles this instantly, allowing you to switch between standard tour matches and major tournaments.
Correct Score / Set Betting
How to Use the Calculator
This tool is designed to analyze the entire market at once. Here is how to find value in set betting:
- Select Match Format: Use the tabs at the top to choose between Best of 3 (Standard ATP/WTA/ITF matches) or Best of 5 (Men’s Grand Slam matches).
- Enter the Odds: Input the decimal odds for every possible outcome provided by your bookmaker.
- For Best of 3: Enter odds for 2-0, 2-1 (Player 1) and 2-0, 2-1 (Player 2).
- For Best of 5: Enter odds for 3-0, 3-1, 3-2 for both players.
- Analyze Probabilities: The calculator converts these odds into percentages. The result with the highest percentage is what the market believes is the most likely score.
- Check the Total Margin: Set Betting markets often have high margins (8-15%). Use this tool to avoid bookmakers charging excessive commissions.
If you want to hedge your correct score bet during the match, you might find our Live Odds Movement Calculator helpful.
Examples: Analyzing the Set Scores
The math changes drastically depending on the tournament rules. Here is what to look for:
Example 1: ATP/WTA Masters (Best of 3)
In a standard match, you might see a heavy favorite.
- The Odds: Favorite to win 2-0 is priced at 1.50.
- The Probability: This implies a 66.7% chance of a straight-sets victory.
- Strategy: If you believe the underdog is gritty enough to steal a set but ultimately lose, checking the probability of a 2-1 scoreline (often priced around 4.00) can reveal high-value opportunities.
Example 2: Grand Slam Final (Best of 5)
Men’s Grand Slam matches are a test of endurance. A 3-0 sweep is harder to achieve against top opponents.
- The Scenario: Two top-10 players face off at Wimbledon.
- The Calculation: You might see odds of 5.50 for a 3-1 win and 6.00 for a 3-2 win.
- Market Insight: By inputting all 6 potential scores into the calculator, you might find that the “Total Market Margin” is over 12%. This signals that the odds are poor value, and you might be better off betting on the Game Handicap instead.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Is “Correct Score” the same as “Set Betting”?
Yes, in tennis betting, these terms are used interchangeably. Unlike football where the score can be anything (1-0, 5-2), tennis sets are finite. You are betting on the final set count (e.g., 2 sets to 1).
What happens if a player retires during the match?
In almost all sportsbooks, Set Betting wagers are voided (refunded) if the match is not completed. A correct score cannot be determined if the match ends early due to injury.
Why are the margins so high on Set Betting?
The more outcomes a market has (4 or 6 outcomes vs. just 2 in Moneyline), the more “juice” or margin the bookmaker adds to protect themselves. It is common to see margins of 10%+ in set betting, whereas Moneyline margins are usually 3-5%.