Betting on a team to “Win From Behind” (concede the first goal but still win) offers massive odds, often ranging from 8.00 to 15.00.
This market is a subset of the “Match Winner & Both Teams to Score” bet. This calculator helps you estimate the fair price for a comeback based on the odds of that combo.
Analyzing the Comeback
For a team to win from behind, two things must happen:
- They must Win.
- The Opponent must score (BTTS: Yes).
However, “Win & BTTS” also includes scenarios where the favorite scores first and simply concedes a late consolation goal (e.g., 3-1). Statistically, true “Comebacks” account for only about 30-35% of all “Win & BTTS” outcomes.
How to Find Value
- Input Win Odds: e.g., 1.80.
- Input Win & BTTS Odds: e.g., 3.50.
- Result: The calculator estimates the “Comeback” fair odds should be around 10.00. If the bookie offers 14.00, it is a high-value longshot.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Is this a good In-Play strategy?
Yes. The best time to bet on a comeback is often In-Play immediately after the underdog scores the first goal. The live odds will adjust, but markets often overreact to the underdog’s goal.