A “Win to Nil” bet requires your team to win and keep a clean sheet (e.g., 1-0, 2-0, 3-0). It is a high-reward market, but bookmakers often charge a massive margin (vig) on it.
Often, it is mathematically more profitable to place individual bets on the Correct Scores (1-0, 2-0, etc.) that make up a “Win to Nil” scenario. This tool calculates which method pays more.
Win to Nil Valuation (Dutching CS)
Enter Odds for Correct Scores:
How to Beat the “Lazy” Market
Bookmakers know that most players prefer clicking one button (“Win to Nil”) rather than placing 3 or 4 separate bets. They charge a “convenience fee” for this.
Example Calculation
- Bookie Offer (Win to Nil): Odds 2.80.
- Dutching Correct Scores (1-0, 2-0, 3-0): By splitting your stake across these scores, you might achieve effective odds of 3.10.
In this scenario, creating your own “Synthetic Win to Nil” pays 10% more for the exact same outcome. This calculator does the math instantly to show you the hidden arbitrage.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
What if the team wins 5-0?
If you bet the standard “Win to Nil” market, you win. If you Dutched only 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, and 4-0, you would lose. However, scores of 5-0 or higher are statistically rare. You can choose to add 5-0 to your Dutching list, but it will slightly lower your effective odds.